Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lemona vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lemona in this Copa Federacion 2011/2012 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lemona
20%
Draws
33%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lemona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Amorebieta have won more games recently than Lemona.
  • Lemona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Amorebieta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lemona, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lemona Clean Sheet 20%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemona Amorebieta
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Lemona vs Amorebieta
0:0
Jan 18, 2012 Copa Federacion
Amorebieta vs Lemona
1:2
Jan 11, 2012 Copa Federacion
Lemona vs Amorebieta
1:0
Jan 6, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Lemona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemona 67 / 100
Amorebieta 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemona Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lemona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amorebieta conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Lemona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Lemona found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amorebieta
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemona

(Home)
13 May
Lemona
0 : 0
Amorebieta
06 May
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Lemona
28 Apr
Lemona
2 : 1
Zamora
21 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Lemona
19 Apr
Lemona
6 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Alcala 2
Jerez CF 1
Comarca 4
CA Pulpileno 0
Villarrobledo 2
Olimpic Xativa 4
Almeria B 1
AD Ceuta 2
Pena 2
Tudelano 3
Naxara 2
SD Logrones 3
Lemona 5
Burgos CF 1
Amorebieta 4
Real Union 4
Lleida 1
CF Badalona 5
Ontinyent 0
Teruel 5
Coruxo FC 3
Lugo 5
Rayo Cantabria 6
Tuilla 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 2
Mexico 4
Rayo Vallecano B 7
Vecindario 0
Toledo 3
CD Puertollano 1
Binissalem 4
Santboia 1
1/8-finals
CD Alcala 2
Comarca 1
Olimpic Xativa 0
AD Ceuta 3
Tudelano 3
SD Logrones 2
Lemona 3
Amorebieta 1
CF Badalona 1
Teruel 3
Lugo 1
Rayo Cantabria 2
Mexico 0
Rayo Vallecano B 5
Toledo 1
Binissalem 2
Quarter-finals
CD Alcala 3
AD Ceuta 6
Tudelano 3
Lemona 3
Teruel 7
Rayo Cantabria 1
Rayo Vallecano B 3
Binissalem 4
Semi-finals
AD Ceuta 2
Lemona 4
Teruel 3
Binissalem 4
Final
Lemona 6
Binissalem 6