Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lemona vs Burgos CF

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lemona in this Copa Federacion 2011/2012 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lemona
30%
Draws
37%
Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF have won more games recently than Lemona.
  • Lemona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Burgos CF arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lemona, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lemona Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemona Burgos CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Burgos CF vs Lemona
2:2
Nov 30, 2011 Copa Federacion
Burgos CF vs Lemona
0:2
Nov 23, 2011 Copa Federacion
Lemona vs Burgos CF
3:1
Sep 24, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Lemona vs Burgos CF
1:0
Feb 3, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Lemona vs Burgos CF
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemona 40 / 100
Burgos CF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemona Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lemona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lemona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lemona scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Burgos CF has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burgos CF
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemona

(Home)
13 May
Lemona
0 : 0
Amorebieta
06 May
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Lemona
28 Apr
Lemona
2 : 1
Zamora
21 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Lemona
19 Apr
Lemona
6 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF

(Away)
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Alcala 2
Jerez CF 1
Comarca 4
CA Pulpileno 0
Villarrobledo 2
Olimpic Xativa 4
Almeria B 1
AD Ceuta 2
Pena 2
Tudelano 3
Naxara 2
SD Logrones 3
Lemona 5
Burgos CF 1
Amorebieta 4
Real Union 4
Lleida 1
CF Badalona 5
Ontinyent 0
Teruel 5
Coruxo FC 3
Lugo 5
Rayo Cantabria 6
Tuilla 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 2
Mexico 4
Rayo Vallecano B 7
Vecindario 0
Toledo 3
CD Puertollano 1
Binissalem 4
Santboia 1
1/8-finals
CD Alcala 2
Comarca 1
Olimpic Xativa 0
AD Ceuta 3
Tudelano 3
SD Logrones 2
Lemona 3
Amorebieta 1
CF Badalona 1
Teruel 3
Lugo 1
Rayo Cantabria 2
Mexico 0
Rayo Vallecano B 5
Toledo 1
Binissalem 2
Quarter-finals
CD Alcala 3
AD Ceuta 6
Tudelano 3
Lemona 3
Teruel 7
Rayo Cantabria 1
Rayo Vallecano B 3
Binissalem 4
Semi-finals
AD Ceuta 2
Lemona 4
Teruel 3
Binissalem 4
Final
Lemona 6
Binissalem 6