Sport Picks
Lenense vs CD Colunga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
29'
29'
Lopez R.
47'
47'
Ferreres A.
66'
66'
Djoulde Bah M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Colunga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Colunga have won more games recently than Lenense.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lenense Clean Sheet 17%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lenense | CD Colunga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.12 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs CD Colunga
3:3
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Lenense
4:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Lenense
4:0
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs CD Colunga
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs CD Colunga
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lenense Compare
Top Goalscorer Djoulde Bah M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 1.06
CD Colunga Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferreres A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lenense 31 / 100
CD Colunga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lenense CD Colunga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Colunga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Lenense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
CD Colunga let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Lenense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lenense VS CD Colunga
1.86 Goals Scored 1
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lenense
(Home) 10 May
Lenense
0 : 1 Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3 Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0 Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1 Gijon B
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
28 Mar
Lenense
2 : 0 Club Siero
15 Mar
Lenense
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 3
CD Colunga
(Away) 03 Oct
L Entregu CF
0 : 0 CD Colunga
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2 Covadonga
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1 Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2 CD Colunga
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
L Entregu CF
0 : 0 CD Colunga
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2 CD Colunga
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2 CD Colunga
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
