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Lenense vs Condal

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Garcia D.
80' Event
Coutado P.

AI Match Summary

Lenense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lenense
20%
Draws
10%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lenense lately — more wins on the board than Condal.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Lenense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lenense Clean Sheet 68%
Condal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Condal
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.06 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Condal
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Lenense
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Lenense
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Condal
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Lenense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coutado P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Condal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 95 / 100
Condal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Condal conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Lenense's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Lenense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Condal's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7

Condal

(Away)
11 May
Condal
0 : 2
Gijon B
04 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 0
Condal
27 Apr
Condal
1 : 1
CD Colunga
16 Apr
Covadonga
5 : 0
Condal
13 Apr
Condal
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)