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Lenense vs Luarca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Martinez A.
42' Event
Coutado P.
87' Event
Rodriguez L.

AI Match Summary

Lenense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lenense
20%
Draws
10%
Luarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Luarca haven't matched Lenense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lenense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lenense Clean Sheet 16%
Luarca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Luarca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.09 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Luarca
3:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Lenense
1:2
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Lenense
2:1
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Luarca
3:1
Apr 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Lenense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lenense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coutado P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Luarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 84 / 100
Luarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Luarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luarca let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Lenense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lenense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7

Luarca

(Away)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)