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Lenense vs Universidad Oviedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lenense in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lenense
20%
Draws
29%
Universidad Oviedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lenense have won more games recently than Universidad Oviedo.
  • Model gives Lenense a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lenense Clean Sheet 18%
Universidad Oviedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lenense Universidad Oviedo
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.15 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Universidad Oviedo
2:1
Aug 24, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Lenense
2:1
Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Universidad Oviedo
1:0
Oct 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Universidad Oviedo vs Lenense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lenense 85 / 100
Universidad Oviedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lenense Universidad Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lenense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Universidad Oviedo let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Lenense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lenense VS Universidad Oviedo
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lenense

(Home)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 8

Universidad Oviedo

(Away)
28 Aug
Universidad Oviedo
0 : 6
Real Oviedo B
19 May
Universidad Oviedo
0 : 0
La Madalena
12 May
Llanera
4 : 2
Universidad Oviedo
05 May
Universidad Oviedo
1 : 0
L Entregu CF
28 Apr
Lealtad
3 : 0
Universidad Oviedo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)