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Leningradets vs Irtysh Omsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Petrovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Emelyanov D.
59'
Sub
Gurenko A. In: Pershin M.
Out: Gurenko A.
59'
Sub
Emelyanov D. In: Dushevskiy D.
Out: Emelyanov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 game between Leningradets and Irtysh Omsk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Leningradets
15%
Draws
26%
Irtysh Omsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leningradets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leningradets come out ahead of Irtysh Omsk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leningradets's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leningradets have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 19%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leningradets Irtysh Omsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Irtysh Omsk
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Leningradets
1:2
Mar 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Irtysh Omsk vs Leningradets
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Pershin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Saraev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leningradets 42 / 100
Irtysh Omsk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leningradets Irtysh Omsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irtysh Omsk has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Leningradets found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leningradets stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leningradets VS Irtysh Omsk
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leningradets

(Home)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
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Irtysh Omsk

(Away)
27 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
19 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
13 Sept
Torpedo Miass
3 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
05 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)