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Leningradets vs Irtysh Omsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Petrovsky Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leningradets play Irtysh Omsk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leningradets averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Irtysh Omsk averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Leningradets won 2, Irtysh Omsk won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Leningradets and 1.06 for Irtysh Omsk. This points to a Leningradets double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Leningradets
32%
Draws
20%
Irtysh Omsk
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Leningradets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Leningradets picked up more points recently compared to Irtysh Omsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 22%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leningradets Irtysh Omsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Irtysh Omsk
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Leningradets
1:2
Mar 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Irtysh Omsk vs Leningradets
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Pershin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Saraev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leningradets 48 / 100
Irtysh Omsk 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leningradets Irtysh Omsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leningradets or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leningradets attacking → ← attacking Irtysh Omsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leningradets scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Irtysh Omsk let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Leningradets went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Irtysh Omsk lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 24
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110