Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leningradets vs Kaluga

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Petrovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Pershin M.
45'
Yugaldin D.
46'
Sub
Pershin M. In: Sukhanov N.
Out: Pershin M.

AI Match Summary

Leningradets in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leningradets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Leningradets
35%
Draws
30%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kaluga haven't matched Leningradets's recent run of results.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Leningradets have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 14%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leningradets Kaluga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Leningradets
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Kaluga
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Leningradets
1:3
Sep 9, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Leningradets vs Kaluga
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leningradets Compare

Top Goalscorer Shkolik I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leningradets 35 / 100
Kaluga 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leningradets Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaluga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaluga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Leningradets has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leningradets's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leningradets VS Kaluga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leningradets

(Home)
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
29 Aug
Leningradets
0 : 1
Kamaz
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Kaluga

(Away)
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Kaluga
30 Aug
Kaluga
1 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)