Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lens vs Charleroi

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Guiagon P.
(Penalty)
10' Event
Sima A.
Assist: Thauvin F.
39'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lens
15%
Draws
54%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lens lately — more wins on the board than Charleroi.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lens Clean Sheet 16%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Charleroi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Lens vs Charleroi
2:2
Sep 3, 2020 Club Friendly
Lens vs Charleroi
3:1
Sep 3, 2020 Club Friendly
Lens vs Charleroi
2:1
Jul 30, 2014 Club Friendly
Lens vs Charleroi
4:2
Jul 3, 2010 Club Friendly
Lens vs Charleroi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Sima A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Romsaas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 36 / 100
Charleroi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Charleroi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Lens remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Charleroi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
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Charleroi

(Away)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
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