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Lens vs Lyon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lens host Lyon in the Ligue 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Lens at 2.17 goals for, 1.34 against; Lyon at 1.72 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Lens slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.50, favoring Lens. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Lens
30%
Draws
51%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lyon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lens Clean Sheet 16%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Lyon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lens
0:4
Mar 5, 2026 Coupe de France
Lyon vs Lens
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Lyon
0:1
May 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lens
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Lyon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 11 / 100
Lyon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Lyon has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Lens went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Lyon
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
Page 1 of 6

Lyon

(Away)
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0
Rennes
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)