Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lens vs Rouen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Said W.
60' Event
Bulatovic A.
77' Event
Fuss V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lens and Rouen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lens
20%
Draws
52%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lens come out ahead of Rouen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rouen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lens here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lens Clean Sheet 18%
Rouen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Rouen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.21 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Lens vs Rouen
2:1
Jan 7, 2012 Club Friendly
Lens vs Rouen
2:0
May 28, 1985 Ligue 1
Rouen vs Lens
1:0
Aug 17, 1984 Ligue 1
Lens vs Rouen
1:0
Apr 7, 1984 Ligue 1
Lens vs Rouen
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Said W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bulatovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuss V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 20 / 100
Rouen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rouen let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lens stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Rouen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2
Auxerre
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Rouen

(Away)
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
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