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Lentigione vs Fiorenzuola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Tringali S.
34' Event
Alessandrini S.
57' Event
Bran A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Lentigione and Fiorenzuola finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lentigione
30%
Draws
34%
Fiorenzuola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lentigione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lentigione taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Fiorenzuola
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Lentigione
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Fiorenzuola
2:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Fiorenzuola
0:1
Feb 3, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Lentigione
2:4
Mar 11, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Lentigione
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandrini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fiorenzuola Compare

Top Goalscorer Tringali S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 46 / 100
Fiorenzuola 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Fiorenzuola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Fiorenzuola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lentigione has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 7

Fiorenzuola

(Away)
04 May
Fiorenzuola
3 : 0
Prato
27 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
17 Apr
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Lentigione
13 Apr
Ravenna
3 : 0
Fiorenzuola
06 Apr
Fiorenzuola
1 : 0
Sammaurese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)