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Lentigione vs Imolese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nanni L.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Mele M.
41' Event
Penta M.

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lentigione
15%
Draws
26%
Imolese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Imolese haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Lentigione taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Imolese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Imolese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Imolese
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Lentigione
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Lentigione
3:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Imolese
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Lentigione
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Mele M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Imolese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 68 / 100
Imolese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Imolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lentigione Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Imolese let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lentigione stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Imolese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
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Imolese

(Away)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)