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Stadium Background

Lentigione vs Imolese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nanni L.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Mele M.
41' Event
Penta M.

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lentigione
33%
Draws
27%
Imolese
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Imolese haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lentigione taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Imolese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Imolese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Imolese
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Lentigione
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Lentigione
3:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Imolese
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Lentigione
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Mele M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Imolese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 50 / 100
Imolese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Imolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Imolese let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lentigione stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Imolese
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

Imolese

(Away)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Imolese
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)