Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024

Lentigione

3 - 2

Mezzolara

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Montipo M.

63'

Nava V.

Own Goal

69'

Sala F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Lentigione

11%

Draws

Mezzolara

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Lentigione have won more games recently than Mezzolara.
Win probability leans Lentigione's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Lentigione have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%

Mezzolara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lentigione	Mezzolara
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	23	2
Draws	9	8
Losses	6	20
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	0.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Lentigione vs Mezzolara

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group D

Mezzolara vs Lentigione

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Feb 4, 2023 Serie D - Group D

Lentigione vs Mezzolara

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Oct 12, 2022 Serie D - Group D

Mezzolara vs Lentigione

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Apr 15, 2022 Serie D - Group D

Lentigione vs Mezzolara

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Montipo M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sala F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Mezzolara Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 86 / 100

Mezzolara 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lentigione Mezzolara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Mezzolara let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Lentigione stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carpi	32	21	5	6	66:31	68
2	Ravenna	32	19	9	4	56:13	66
3	Corticella	32	18	3	11	59:40	57
4	Victor San Marino	32	17	6	9	44:37	57
5	Lentigione	32	16	8	8	49:31	56
6	Forli FC	32	16	7	9	48:35	55
7	Prato	32	12	8	12	37:41	44
8	Sangiuliano City	32	12	8	12	32:37	44
9	Fanfulla	32	11	10	11	28:35	43
10	Sant'Angelo	32	11	8	13	47:44	41
11	Aglianese Calcio	32	11	8	13	32:39	41
12	Imolese	32	12	6	14	31:33	40
13	Sammaurese	32	11	4	17	37:48	37
14	SCD Progresso	32	11	4	17	27:43	37
15	San Donnino	32	5	10	17	32:58	25
16	Certaldo	32	6	6	20	22:55	24
17	Mezzolara	32	5	6	21	23:50	21
18	Pistoiese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0