Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lentigione vs Piacenza

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nappo G.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Montipo M.
58' Event
Montipo M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Lentigione and Piacenza finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Lentigione
22%
Draws
60%
Piacenza
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Piacenza come out ahead of Lentigione on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Piacenza taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 15%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Piacenza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Piacenza
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Piacenza
3:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Lentigione
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Piacenza
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Lentigione
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Montipo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustacchio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 19 / 100
Piacenza 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Piacenza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Piacenza let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Lentigione remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Piacenza
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738