Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Montipo M.
21' Event
Alessandrini S.
44' Event
Maltoni E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Lentigione and Sant'Angelo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lentigione
33%
Draws
27%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lentigione come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lentigione a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione
1:4
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Montipo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alessandrini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Maltoni E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ovalle Santos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 50 / 100
Sant'Angelo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sant'Angelo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lentigione has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Sant'Angelo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

Sant'Angelo

(Away)
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)