Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Montipo M.
21'
21'
Alessandrini S.
44'
44'
Maltoni E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Lentigione and Sant'Angelo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
30%
30%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lentigione come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
- Model gives Lentigione a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 17%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lentigione | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione
1:4
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Lentigione
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lentigione Compare
Top Goalscorer Montipo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alessandrini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sant'Angelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Maltoni E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ovalle Santos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lentigione 41 / 100
Sant'Angelo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lentigione Sant'Angelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lentigione found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Sant'Angelo conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Lentigione has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lentigione VS Sant'Angelo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lentigione
(Home) 16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 4
Sant'Angelo
(Away) 16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1 Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1 Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
