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Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Sun, May 3, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lentigione host Vigor Carpaneto in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vigor Carpaneto have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Lentigione have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Lentigione slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 0.94) back Lentigione to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lentigione
30%
Draws
43%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lentigione lately — more wins on the board than Vigor Carpaneto.
  • Win probability leans Lentigione's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 34 20
Wins 23 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Lentigione
1:3
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Lentigione
2:3
Oct 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1
Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Vigor Carpaneto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 36 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Vigor Carpaneto conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Lentigione has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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