Sport Picks
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra 
AI Match Summary
Leones del Norte host Guayaquil City in the Liga Pro. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Leones del Norte at 1.24 goals for, 1.28 against; Guayaquil City at 1.24 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Guayaquil City slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Leones del Norte. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Leones del Norte come out ahead of Guayaquil City on wins alone.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Leones del Norte taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones del Norte | Guayaquil City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones del Norte scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Guayaquil City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Leones del Norte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Leones del Norte
(Home)Guayaquil City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43:39 | 51 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 38:43 | 47 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 39:40 | 46 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 31:43 | 42 |
