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Stadium Background

Leones del Norte vs Manta

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Anangono J.
Assist: De La Cruz M.
30' Event
Anangono J.
(Penalty)
42'
Moscarelli O.

AI Match Summary

Leones del Norte in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones del Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leones del Norte
6%
Draws
4%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leones del Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leones del Norte lately — more wins on the board than Manta.
  • Win probability leans Leones del Norte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones del Norte Manta
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Manta
3:0
Sep 26, 2024 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Manta
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 Serie B
Manta vs Leones del Norte
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 Serie B
Manta vs Leones del Norte
3:1
Apr 11, 2024 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Manta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Anangono J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones del Norte 95 / 100
Manta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones del Norte Manta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones del Norte found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Manta let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leones del Norte remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leones del Norte VS Manta
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle18141340:1943
2Aucas1895421:1632
3Barcelona SC1886420:1330
4LDU Quito1884619:1428
5Dep. Cuenca1883718:2027
6U. Catolica1875628:1826
7Macara1875618:1826
8Emelec1866614:1724
9Tecnico U.1872919:1923
10Leones del Norte1865719:1923
11Orense1865722:2423
12Guayaquil City1864816:2122
13Mushuc Runa1856723:2721
14Libertad1846817:2518
15Delfin1845910:1817
16Manta1834117:2313