Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Monserrat N.
12'
Peralta K.
31' Event
Griffa E.
Assist: Arroyo R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Leones del Norte and Mushuc Runa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones del Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leones del Norte
6%
Draws
4%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leones del Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leones del Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leones del Norte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones del Norte Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 Copa Ecuador
Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pazmino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mushuc Runa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mina F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones del Norte 95 / 100
Mushuc Runa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones del Norte Mushuc Runa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leones del Norte scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Mushuc Runa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Leones del Norte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leones del Norte VS Mushuc Runa
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle18141340:1943
2Aucas1895421:1632
3Barcelona SC1886420:1330
4Macara1985620:1929
5LDU Quito1884619:1428
6Dep. Cuenca1883718:2027
7U. Catolica1875628:1826
8Emelec1866614:1724
9Tecnico U.1872919:1923
10Leones del Norte1865719:1923
11Orense1865722:2423
12Guayaquil City1864816:2122
13Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
14Libertad1846817:2518
15Delfin1845910:1817
16Manta1834117:2313