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Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Leones Negros 2 Logo

Leones Negros 2

2 - 1
FT
Cimarrones de Sonora Logo

Cimarrones de Sonora

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Perez E.
72' Event
Salcido C.
90'
Ruiz I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Leones Negros 2 and Cimarrones de Sonora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones Negros 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Leones Negros 2
30%
Draws
28%
Cimarrones de Sonora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones Negros 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Leones Negros 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Cimarrones de Sonora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Cimarrones de Sonora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Negros 2 Cimarrones de Sonora
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 2 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.48 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros 2
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Cimarrones de Sonora
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Leones Negros 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salcido C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sepulveda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cimarrones de Sonora Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones Negros 2 20 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Negros 2 Cimarrones de Sonora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leones Negros 2 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leones Negros 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cimarrones de Sonora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leones Negros 2 VS Cimarrones de Sonora
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones Negros 2

(Home)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 7

Cimarrones de Sonora

(Away)
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
23 Apr
Celaya
2 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
19 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
1 : 1
Mineros de Fresnillo
15 Apr
Mineros de Fresnillo
1 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora
11 Apr
Zapotlanejo
0 : 4
Cimarrones de Sonora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)