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Leones Negros 2 vs Saltillo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Leones Negros 2 Logo

Leones Negros 2

4 - 1
FT
Saltillo Logo

Saltillo

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Munoz D.
29'
Cruz A. J.
39' Event
Munoz D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Leones Negros 2 and Saltillo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones Negros 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Leones Negros 2
15%
Draws
37%
Saltillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leones Negros 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Leones Negros 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leones Negros 2's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Leones Negros 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Negros 2 Saltillo
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.53 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Saltillo
4:1
Nov 25, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Leones Negros 2
3:1
Mar 26, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Saltillo
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Leones Negros 2
3:1
Apr 3, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Leones Negros 2 vs Saltillo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Negros 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barba T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Saltillo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones Negros 2 36 / 100
Saltillo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Negros 2 Saltillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Leones Negros 2 scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Leones Negros 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saltillo let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leones Negros 2 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones Negros 2

(Home)
18 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 2
Celaya
16 Apr
Celaya
5 : 0
Leones Negros 2
11 Apr
Leones Negros 2
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 7

Saltillo

(Away)
27 Apr
Leones Negros 2
4 : 1
Saltillo
21 Apr
Saltillo
0 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
13 Apr
Colima FC
0 : 1
Saltillo
07 Apr
Saltillo
1 : 0
Tecos
29 Mar
Correcaminos 2
0 : 0
Saltillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)