Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Zacatecas Mineros
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara 
Match Events
8'
8'
Lopez F.
Assist: Mazatan O.
13'
13'
Padilla P.
30'
30'
Munoz D.
Assist: Camacho Lastra R. E.
AI Match Summary
Zacatecas Mineros in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zacatecas Mineros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Zacatecas Mineros have won more games recently than Leones Negros.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Leones Negros taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 15%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones Negros | Zacatecas Mineros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:1
Nov 7, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Negros Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Padilla P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leones Negros 35 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leones Negros Zacatecas Mineros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones Negros found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Zacatecas Mineros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Leones Negros stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leones Negros VS Zacatecas Mineros
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leones Negros
(Home) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
30 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 1 Piratas
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
30 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 1 Piratas
16 Aug
Leones Negros
4 : 0 Jaiba Brava
07 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 3 Correcaminos
19 Apr
Leones Negros
1 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 3
Zacatecas Mineros
(Away) 25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
07 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
