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Leonesa B vs Almazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leonesa B host Almazan in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Almazan have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Leonesa B have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Leonesa B slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.00, favoring Leonesa B. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Leonesa B
35%
Draws
27%
Almazan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leonesa B come out ahead of Almazan on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 20%
Almazan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa B Almazan
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Leonesa B
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Almazan
2:3
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Almazan
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Leonesa B
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Almazan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa B 31 / 100
Almazan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa B Almazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Leonesa B found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Almazan has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Leonesa B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa B VS Almazan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa B

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 7

Almazan

(Away)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)