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Leonesa B vs Numancia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Leonesa B Logo

Leonesa B

3 - 0
FT
Numancia B Logo

Numancia B

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Choco A.
57' Event
Sanchez J.
78' Event
Oviedo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leonesa B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Leonesa B
20%
Draws
10%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Leonesa B have won more games recently than Numancia B.
  • Leonesa B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 17%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa B Numancia B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.2 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Numancia B
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Leonesa B
2:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Leonesa B
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Numancia B
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Leonesa B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Choco A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa B 84 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa B Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia B has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Leonesa B's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Leonesa B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa B VS Numancia B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa B

(Home)
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Leonesa B
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Leonesa B
11 Apr
Leonesa B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
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Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)