Sport Picks
Leonesa B vs Santa Marta Tormes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Choco A.
AI Match Summary
Leonesa B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonesa B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Santa Marta Tormes lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa B.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Leonesa B taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leonesa B | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Leonesa B
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Leonesa B
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Leonesa B
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Santa Marta Tormes
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leonesa B Compare
Top Goalscorer Choco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leonesa B 42 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leonesa B Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leonesa B found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Santa Marta Tormes conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Leonesa B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leonesa B VS Santa Marta Tormes
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leonesa B
(Home) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0 Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1 Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0 Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1 Mansilles
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0 Numancia B
11 Apr
Leonesa B
1 : 2 Villaralbo
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Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
19 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
08 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
