Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Barzic M.
55'
55'
Magunazelaia Argoitia J.
56'
56'
Chacon L.
AI Match Summary
Leonesa in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eibar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Very High Confidence
- Eibar have won more games recently than Leonesa.
- Eibar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Leonesa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 14%
Eibar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leonesa | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Eibar
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 LaLiga2
Eibar vs Leonesa
1:2
Jan 16, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Eibar vs Leonesa
2:3
Sep 5, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leonesa vs Eibar
0:1
Mar 21, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Eibar
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leonesa Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barzic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Eibar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leonesa 15 / 100
Eibar 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leonesa Eibar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leonesa found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Leonesa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Eibar conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Leonesa VS Eibar
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leonesa
(Home) 05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1 Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 0 Leonesa
30 May
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1 Leonesa
24 May
Leonesa
0 : 2 Burgos CF
16 May
Leonesa
2 : 1 Eibar
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05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1 Real Aviles
24 May
Leonesa
0 : 2 Burgos CF
16 May
Leonesa
2 : 1 Eibar
02 May
Leonesa
2 : 2 Cadiz
18 Apr
Leonesa
1 : 2 Cordoba
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Eibar
(Away) 01 Aug
Eibar
5 : 0 Arenas Getxo
29 Jul
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1 Eibar
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2 Eibar
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1 Eibar
31 May
Castellon
2 : 1 Eibar
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29 Jul
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1 Eibar
25 Jul
Ath Bilbao
2 : 2 Eibar
18 Jul
Alaves
1 : 1 Eibar
31 May
Castellon
2 : 1 Eibar
16 May
Leonesa
2 : 1 Eibar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellon | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 10 | Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 36 |
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
