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Leonico U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 game between Leonico U20 and Estrela De Marco U20 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela De Marco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Leonico U20
15%
Draws
85%
Estrela De Marco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela De Marco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela De Marco U20 come out ahead of Leonico U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Estrela De Marco U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estrela De Marco U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leonico U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Estrela De Marco U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico U20 Estrela De Marco U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Baiano U20
Leonico U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Leonico U20
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Leonico U20
4:1
Jul 20, 2025 Baiano U20
Leonico U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
0:2
Jun 4, 2025 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Leonico U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico U20 10 / 100
Estrela De Marco U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico U20 Estrela De Marco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela De Marco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Leonico U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Estrela De Marco U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Estrela De Marco U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonico U20 VS Estrela De Marco U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico U20

(Home)
03 Jun
Jacuipense U20
3 : 0
Leonico U20
30 May
Leonico U20
1 : 6
Fluminense de Feira U20
23 May
Leonico U20
0 : 1
Redencao U20
09 May
Alagoinhas U20
7 : 0
Leonico U20
02 May
Leonico U20
2 : 3
Estrela De Marco U20
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Estrela De Marco U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
13 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
06 Jun
Estrela De Marco U20
1 : 0
Fluminense de Feira U20
03 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams