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Leonico vs AD Astro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2007
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AI Match Summary

AD Astro in this Baiano 2 2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Astro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Leonico
15%
Draws
12%
AD Astro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Leonico average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of AD Astro's 0.8.
  • Win probability leans Leonico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Leonico Clean Sheet 11%
AD Astro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico AD Astro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2007 Baiano 2
Leonico vs AD Astro
1:6
Jul 29, 2007 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Leonico
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 83 / 100
AD Astro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico AD Astro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Leonico scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

AD Astro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: AD Astro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 6

AD Astro

(Away)
29 Jun
Itabuna
3 : 0
AD Astro
16 Jun
AD Astro
1 : 2
Colo Colo
08 Jun
Jequie
0 : 0
AD Astro
25 May
AD Astro
1 : 4
CE Flamengo
18 May
AD Astro
0 : 1
Itabuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feirense 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Galicia 10 7 0 3 23:11 21
3 Guanambi AC 10 7 0 3 16:13 21
4 Camacariense 10 3 2 5 9:17 11
5 AD Astro 10 2 1 7 13:15 7
6 Leonico 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2007 (Play Offs)