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Leonico vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Ypiranga in this Baiano 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leonico
15%
Draws
46%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Ypiranga lately — more wins on the board than Leonico.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Leonico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Leonico Clean Sheet 15%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Leonico
2:1
May 1, 2014 Baiano 2
Leonico vs EC Ypiranga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 41 / 100
EC Ypiranga 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico EC Ypiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EC Ypiranga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Leonico scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Leonico remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS EC Ypiranga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 6

EC Ypiranga

(Away)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)