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Leonico vs Jequie

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jequie in this Baiano 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jequie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Leonico
20%
Draws
46%
Jequie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jequie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jequie have won more games recently than Leonico.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%
Jequie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico Jequie
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 11
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Jequie vs Leonico
3:0
Apr 6, 2014 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jequie
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 30 / 100
Jequie 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico Jequie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jequie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jequie conceded in 60% of 42 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leonico scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Leonico went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS Jequie
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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Jequie

(Away)
22 Feb
Jequie
1 : 1
Barcelona FC
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Jequie
2 : 2
Vitoria
04 Feb
Jacuipense
0 : 2
Jequie
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)