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Leopard vs St-Michel Ouenze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2018 Stade Omnisport Marien Ngouabi d'Owando, Owando
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AI Match Summary

Leopard in this Ligue 1 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leopard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Leopard
35%
Draws
30%
St-Michel Ouenze
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leopard lately — more wins on the board than St-Michel Ouenze.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leopard have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leopard Clean Sheet 20%
St-Michel Ouenze Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopard St-Michel Ouenze
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.16 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2018 Ligue 1
Leopard vs St-Michel Ouenze
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Ligue 1
St-Michel Ouenze vs Leopard
1:1
Sep 6, 2017 Ligue 1
Leopard vs St-Michel Ouenze
3:1
Jan 29, 2017 Ligue 1
St-Michel Ouenze vs Leopard
1:3
Jun 26, 2016 Ligue 1
Leopard vs St-Michel Ouenze
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopard 31 / 100
St-Michel Ouenze 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopard St-Michel Ouenze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leopard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leopard's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

St-Michel Ouenze has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Leopard stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leopard VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopard

(Home)
27 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Leopard
21 Sept
Leopard
0 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
15 Mar
ACJM
0 : 0
Leopard
08 Mar
Nico-Nicoye
1 : 1
Leopard
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St-Michel Ouenze

(Away)
02 Oct
St-Michel Ouenze
0 : 0
V.Club Mokanda
26 Sept
Etoile du Congo
1 : 1
St-Michel Ouenze
22 Sept
St-Michel Ouenze
2 : 0
Patronage Sainte-Anne
16 Sept
Diables Noirs
1 : 0
St-Michel Ouenze
08 Sept
St-Michel Ouenze
2 : 3
Poto-Poto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otoho d'Oyo 30 24 3 3 66:16 75
2 La Mancha 30 23 2 5 48:19 71
3 Diables Noirs 30 21 5 4 68:19 68
4 Leopard 30 18 5 7 46:28 59
5 CARA Brazzaville 30 14 6 10 38:25 48
6 Cheminots 30 15 3 12 36:29 48
7 JS Talangai 30 12 7 11 32:35 43
8 Etoile du Congo 30 12 6 12 36:37 41
9 Inter Club 30 9 7 14 28:38 34
10 Tongo FC Jambon 30 9 4 17 30:55 31
11 V.Club Mokanda 30 8 6 16 17:34 30
12 Patronage Sainte-Anne 30 9 3 18 19:39 30
13 Nico-Nicoye 30 9 1 20 21:48 28
14 Kondzo 30 7 6 17 30:44 27
15 Poto-Poto 30 6 9 15 26:53 27
16 St-Michel Ouenze 30 3 9 18 20:42 18
Relegation - Ligue 1 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2018/2019 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2018/2019 (Qualification)