Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Madada K.
25'
25'
Odhiambo K.
69'
69'
Ponda R. K.
AI Match Summary
Leopards in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leopards.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leopards have won more games recently than Posta Rangers.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Leopards Clean Sheet 68%
Posta Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leopards | Posta Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Posta Rangers
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Leopards
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Leopards
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Leopards vs Posta Rangers
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Posta Rangers vs Leopards
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leopards Compare
Top Goalscorer Madada K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Odhiambo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Posta Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Ponda R. K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leopards 42 / 100
Posta Rangers 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leopards Posta Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leopards scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Posta Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Leopards went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leopards VS Posta Rangers
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leopards
(Home) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1 Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2 Leopards
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
26 Apr
Leopards
0 : 1 Mahia
18 Apr
Leopards
0 : 3 Police FC
29 Mar
Leopards
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 3
Posta Rangers
(Away) 31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0 Sofapaka
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
Page 1 of 6
23 May
KCB
0 : 1 Posta Rangers
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2 Posta Rangers
06 May
Bandari
1 : 1 Posta Rangers
06 Apr
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Posta Rangers
22 Mar
Kariobangi Sharks
1 : 2 Posta Rangers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
