Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leotar host Sloboda Novi Grad in the Prva Liga - RS. This one's hard to separate. Leotar have averaged 2.13 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against Sloboda Novi Grad's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Leotar slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 0.63, favoring Sloboda Novi Grad. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Leotar

33%

Draws

27%

Sloboda Novi Grad

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Leotar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Leotar have won more games recently than Sloboda Novi Grad.
Model gives Leotar a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Leotar Clean Sheet 20%

Sloboda Novi Grad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leotar	Sloboda Novi Grad
Matches Played	29	8
Wins	13	5
Draws	13	1
Losses	3	2
Goals Scored	2.13	0
Goals Conceded	0.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Leotar

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Oct 25, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Leotar vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Apr 5, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Leotar

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 14, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Leotar vs Sloboda Novi Grad

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Oct 6, 2021 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup

Sloboda Novi Grad vs Leotar

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leotar 40 / 100

Sloboda Novi Grad 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leotar Sloboda Novi Grad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leotar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Leotar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Sloboda Novi Grad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 8 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Leotar VS Sloboda Novi Grad

2.13 Goals Scored 0

0.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laktasi	24	14	6	4	45:16	48
2	BSK Banja Luka	24	14	5	5	38:19	47
3	Leotar	24	12	10	2	37:15	46
4	Kozara	24	10	6	8	24:25	36
5	Slavija	24	9	8	7	28:23	35
6	Zvornik	24	10	4	10	36:20	34
7	Zvijezda 09	24	8	6	10	23:31	30
8	Sutjeska Foca	24	8	5	11	31:34	29
9	Romanija Pale	24	8	4	12	24:31	28
10	Nevesinje	24	8	3	13	27:41	27
11	Famos Vojkovici	24	7	6	11	22:40	27
12	Omarska	24	7	4	13	25:48	25
13	Vlasenica	24	4	7	13	14:31	19
14	Sloboda Novi Grad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0