Sport Picks

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS

Zvornik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leotar play Zvornik in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leotar averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. Zvornik averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Leotar won 1, Zvornik won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Leotar and 0.69 for Zvornik. This points to a Leotar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Leotar

35%

Draws

28%

Zvornik

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leotar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Leotar picked up more points recently compared to Zvornik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Leotar Clean Sheet 28%

Zvornik Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leotar	Zvornik
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	11
Draws	13	6
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1.54
Goals Conceded	0.62	0.96
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Prva Liga - RS

Leotar vs Zvornik

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Mar 14, 2026 Prva Liga - RS

Leotar vs Zvornik

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Sep 20, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Zvornik vs Leotar

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

May 14, 2025 Prva Liga - RS

Zvornik vs Leotar

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 2, 2024 Prva Liga - RS

Leotar vs Zvornik

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leotar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Zvornik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikan M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leotar 39 / 100

Zvornik 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leotar Zvornik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leotar or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leotar attacking → ← attacking Zvornik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leotar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Zvornik let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leotar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zvornik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 39

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Laktasi	24	14	6	4	45:16	48
2	BSK Banja Luka	24	14	5	5	38:19	47
3	Leotar	24	12	10	2	37:15	46
4	Kozara	24	10	6	8	24:25	36
5	Slavija	24	9	8	7	28:23	35
6	Zvornik	24	10	4	10	36:20	34
7	Zvijezda 09	24	8	6	10	23:31	30
8	Sutjeska Foca	24	8	5	11	31:34	29
9	Romanija Pale	24	8	4	12	24:31	28
10	Nevesinje	24	8	3	13	27:41	27
11	Famos Vojkovici	24	7	6	11	22:40	27
12	Omarska	24	7	4	13	25:48	25
13	Vlasenica	24	4	7	13	14:31	19
14	Sloboda Novi Grad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0