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Lerines vs Alesves

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Navarro P.
78' Event
Garcia E.
90' Event
Chimborazo J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lerines and Alesves finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lerines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lerines
30%
Draws
0%
Alesves
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lerines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Alesves haven't matched Lerines's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lerines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Lerines Clean Sheet 68%
Alesves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lerines Alesves
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Lerines
1:3
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Alesves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lerines Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Alesves Compare

Top Goalscorer Chimborazo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lerines 95 / 100
Alesves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lerines Alesves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alesves let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Alesves's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lerines scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Lerines VS Alesves
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lerines

(Home)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
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Alesves

(Away)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)