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Lerines vs Lagunak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
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Match Events

64' Event
Garcia A.
72' Event
Sanchez C.
75' Event
Navarro P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lerines and Lagunak finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lerines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lerines
35%
Draws
37%
Lagunak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lerines's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Lagunak have produced (1.03).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lerines Clean Sheet 14%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lerines Lagunak
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Lagunak
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Lerines
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lerines Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lagunak Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lerines 31 / 100
Lagunak 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lerines Lagunak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lerines scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lagunak conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lerines remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lerines VS Lagunak
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lerines

(Home)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
Page 1 of 6

Lagunak

(Away)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)