Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lerines vs Pamplona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Romera J.
86' Event
Velaz A.
90'
Garcia E.

AI Match Summary

Pamplona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lerines
35%
Draws
26%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lerines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than Lerines.
  • Win probability leans Lerines's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lerines Clean Sheet 13%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lerines Pamplona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Pamplona
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Lerines
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lerines Compare

Top Goalscorer Romera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Velaz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lerines 40 / 100
Pamplona 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lerines Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lerines found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Pamplona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Lerines has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pamplona
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lerines

(Home)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
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Pamplona

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)