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Lerines vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Asiron J.
90' Event
Amadoz J.

AI Match Summary

Subiza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lerines
35%
Draws
35%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Subiza have won more games recently than Lerines.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lerines Clean Sheet 19%
Subiza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lerines Subiza
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Subiza
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Lerines
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lerines Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Asiron J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amadoz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lerines 32 / 100
Subiza 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lerines Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lerines scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Subiza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lerines stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Subiza
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lerines

(Home)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
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Subiza

(Away)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)