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Lernayin Artsakh vs Araks Ararat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araks Ararat in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araks Ararat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lernayin Artsakh
20%
Draws
38%
Araks Ararat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lernayin Artsakh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Araks Ararat have won more games recently than Lernayin Artsakh.
  • Model gives Lernayin Artsakh a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Araks Ararat have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lernayin Artsakh Clean Sheet 11%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lernayin Artsakh Araks Ararat
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 First League
Lernayin Artsakh vs Araks Ararat
1:2
Apr 7, 2026 First League
Lernayin Artsakh vs Araks Ararat
1:3
Sep 22, 2025 First League
Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh
0:1
Sep 16, 2025 Armenian Cup
Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh
2:1
Nov 9, 2001 Premier League
Araks Ararat vs Lernayin Artsakh
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lernayin Artsakh 56 / 100
Araks Ararat 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lernayin Artsakh Araks Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lernayin Artsakh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lernayin Artsakh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lernayin Artsakh found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Lernayin Artsakh VS Araks Ararat
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lernayin Artsakh

(Home)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Andranik
1 : 2
Lernayin Artsakh
15 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
4 : 2
Sardarapat 2
08 Sept
Bentonit
4 : 3
Lernayin Artsakh
02 Sept
Lernayin Artsakh
5 : 0
Urartu 2
Page 1 of 6

Araks Ararat

(Away)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
10 Shirak Gyumri 2 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
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