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Leruma United vs Venda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Moletshe O.
69'
70' Event
Moletshe O.

AI Match Summary

The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 game between Leruma United and Venda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Leruma United
35%
Draws
16%
Venda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leruma United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Venda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Leruma United taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Leruma United Clean Sheet 68%
Venda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leruma United Venda
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Leruma United vs Venda
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Leruma United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leruma United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Venda Compare

Top Goalscorer Moletshe O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leruma United 77 / 100
Venda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leruma United Venda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leruma United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venda has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Leruma United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Venda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Venda
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leruma United

(Home)
18 May
Orbit College
0 : 0
Leruma United
11 May
Leruma United
1 : 1
Milford
03 May
Kruger United
1 : 0
Leruma United
26 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 1
Pretoria U.
23 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 2
Venda
Page 1 of 6

Venda

(Away)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Durban City 30 17 7 6 44:23 58
2 Orbit College 30 14 11 5 33:19 53
3 Real Native 30 13 9 8 38:29 48
4 Black Leopards 30 13 8 9 43:36 47
5 Kruger United 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
6 Milford 30 12 7 11 35:37 43
7 JDR Stars 30 11 10 9 30:33 43
8 Baroka 30 10 11 9 41:43 41
9 Highbury 30 10 8 12 29:28 38
10 Pretoria U. 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
11 Pretoria Callies 30 10 6 14 23:36 36
12 Upington City 30 8 11 11 28:30 35
13 Hungry Lions 30 8 9 13 35:35 33
14 Venda 30 7 10 13 30:34 31
15 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 12 12 24:30 30
16 Leruma United 30 6 9 15 20:39 27
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)