Sport Picks
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
France
National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Massabielle, Les Herbiers 
Match Events
43'
43'
Billy J.
61'
61'
Rissonga J.
78'
78'
Herbin K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Les Herbiers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Les Herbiers lately — more wins on the board than Avranches.
- Les Herbiers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 68%
Avranches Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Les Herbiers | Avranches |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
3:3
Jan 30, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Les Herbiers
3:2
May 17, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
2:0
Aug 16, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Avranches vs Les Herbiers
1:1
Nov 17, 2023 Coupe de France
Les Herbiers vs Avranches
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Les Herbiers Compare
Top Goalscorer Billy J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rissonga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Avranches Compare
Top Goalscorer Herbin K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Francoise N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Les Herbiers 50 / 100
Avranches 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Les Herbiers Avranches
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Les Herbiers scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Avranches has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Les Herbiers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Les Herbiers VS Avranches
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Les Herbiers
(Home) 22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1 Les Herbiers
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0 Les Herbiers
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3 Avranches
24 Apr
Les Herbiers
2 : 2 Granville
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3 Avranches
24 Apr
Les Herbiers
2 : 2 Granville
11 Apr
Les Herbiers
4 : 0 Montlouis
08 Apr
Les Herbiers
2 : 1 Stade Poitevin
Page 1 of 3
Avranches
(Away) 25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1 Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1 Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3 Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1 Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3 Avranches
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1 Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1 Avranches
09 May
Granville
1 : 1 Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3 Avranches
18 Apr
Montlouis
1 : 2 Avranches
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 51:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Bayonne | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 42:27 | 55 |
| 4 | Saint-Malo | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:29 | 50 |
| 5 | Les Herbiers | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:33 | 49 |
| 6 | Angouleme CFC | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Dinan | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:45 | 41 |
| 8 | Avranches | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:41 | 40 |
| 9 | Chauray | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 10 | St. Colomban Locmine | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Montlouis | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 42:50 | 31 |
| 12 | Lorient II | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:51 | 31 |
| 13 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25:47 | 30 |
| 14 | Granville | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 29 |
| 15 | Saumur Olympique | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 37:56 | 28 |
| 16 | Stade Poitevin | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 21:43 | 25 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)
