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Les Herbiers vs Montlouis

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade Massabielle
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kerriou A.
28' Event
Adekalom N.
85' Event
Rissonga J.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Les Herbiers and Montlouis finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Les Herbiers
6%
Draws
4%
Montlouis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Les Herbiers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Les Herbiers taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 68%
Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Montlouis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Montlouis
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Montlouis vs Les Herbiers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerriou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adekalom N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Montlouis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 95 / 100
Montlouis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Montlouis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montlouis has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Les Herbiers's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Les Herbiers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Montlouis
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325