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Les Herbiers vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade Massabielle
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Baana W.
43' Event
Billy J.
43'
Kibundu Y.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Les Herbiers and Stade Poitevin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Les Herbiers
6%
Draws
4%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Stade Poitevin haven't matched Les Herbiers's recent run of results.
  • Les Herbiers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Stade Poitevin
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Les Herbiers
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Stade Poitevin vs Les Herbiers
1:4
Nov 22, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Stade Poitevin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Billy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tayot G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Stade Poitevin Compare

Top Goalscorer Baana W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 95 / 100
Stade Poitevin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Stade Poitevin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Stade Poitevin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Les Herbiers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Stade Poitevin
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325