Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lesnice vs Paseka

Czech Republic Czech Republic

1. A trida (OLK) - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. A trida (OLK) - Group A game between Lesnice and Paseka finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lesnice
15%
Draws
42%
Paseka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lesnice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lesnice haven't matched Paseka's recent run of results.
  • Lesnice are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lesnice Clean Sheet 10%
Paseka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lesnice Paseka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.57 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 1. A trida (OLK) - Group A
Lesnice vs Paseka
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 1. A trida (OLK) - Group A
Paseka vs Lesnice
6:0
Jun 15, 2024 1. A trida (OLK) - Group A
Paseka vs Lesnice
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 1. A trida (OLK) - Group A
Lesnice vs Paseka
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 1. A trida (OLK) - Group A
Lesnice vs Paseka
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lesnice 56 / 100
Paseka 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lesnice Paseka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lesnice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paseka has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Lesnice's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lesnice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lesnice VS Paseka
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lesnice

(Home)
15 Jun
Velke Losiny
4 : 2
Lesnice
07 Jun
Lesnice
2 : 0
Sternberk B
31 May
Urcice
3 : 1
Lesnice
25 May
Lesnice
2 : 1
Lostice
18 May
Troubelice
0 : 5
Lesnice
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Paseka

(Away)
15 Jun
Paseka
4 : 0
Novy Malin
07 Jun
SK Bludov
3 : 1
Paseka
31 May
Paseka
6 : 4
Sokol v Pivine
24 May
Namest na Hane
5 : 0
Paseka
17 May
Paseka
2 : 1
Maletin
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