Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lettir vs Hamar

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Thorlaksson L.

AI Match Summary

Hamar in this Icelandic Cup 2018 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lettir
15%
Draws
0%
Hamar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lettir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hamar have won more games recently than Lettir.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lettir taking it.
  • Hamar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lettir Clean Sheet 10%
Hamar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lettir Hamar
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.73 1.32
Goals Conceded 3.77 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Lettir vs Hamar
0:1
May 9, 2011 Icelandic Cup
Lettir vs Hamar
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lettir Compare

Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Hamar Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorlaksson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lettir 47 / 100
Hamar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lettir Hamar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lettir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hamar conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Hamar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lettir scored in 73% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lettir VS Hamar
1.63 Goals Scored 1
4.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lettir

(Home)
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5
Arbaer
24 Mar
Lettir
7 : 3
Stokkseyri
28 Mar
Lettir
1 : 2
Kria
01 Apr
Lettir
2 : 7
IH Hafnarfjordur
31 Mar
Kari
5 : 0
Lettir
Page 1 of 5

Hamar

(Away)
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
30 Mar
Hamar
1 : 3
Skallagrimur
05 Apr
Hamar
2 : 5
Hviti
02 Apr
IBU
7 : 0
Hamar
23 Apr
Hamar
0 : 2
Selfoss
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 10
KB Breidholt 1
Stokkseyri -
Kordrengir -
Vaengirs 3
Hviti 2
TBD -
Throttur -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 6
Nokkvi 0
TBD -
Magni -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Alftanes 9
Dalvik/Reynir 2
UMF Geisli 0
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
Snaefell 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Grotta 9
Vatnaliljur 0
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 6
KFS 2
SR Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri 18
Kongarnir 2
TBD -
Haukar -
IR Reykjavik 1
Aegir 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Augnablik 17
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 6
Kria 2
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Afturelding 6
KFR 1
Ymir 2
KV Reykjavik 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Sindri 2
Einherji 5
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Stal-Ulfur 0
Berserkir 1
Reynir 5
Hottur 1
Fjardabyggd 0
TBD -
Huginn -
Ellidi 4
Midas 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Kari 13
Fram 6
Armann 0
Alafoss 1
GG Grindavik 5
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
Hamar 1
Arborg 0
Ulfarnir 0
Lettir 1
KFG Gardabaer 5
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Olafsvik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 2
Kordrengir 0
Vaengirs 0
Throttur 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 5
Kopavogur 5
Alftanes 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Grotta 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 2
Throttur Vogar 1
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Vestri 1
Haukar 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Afturelding 8
KV Reykjavik 2
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 0
Einherji 1
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 0
Reynir 9
Hottur 3
Huginn 0
Ellidi 1
Kari 9
Fram 10
GG Grindavik 0
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 7
Hamar 1
Lettir 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Olafsvik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 2
Fylkir 1
Njardvik 2
Throttur 4
Fjolnir 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 4
Selfoss 1
Vidir 2
Grindavik 4
KA Akureyri 2
Haukar 1
IR Reykjavik 0
Hafnarfjordur 5
Breidablik 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 1
KR Reykjavik 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Einherji 2
Keflavik 0
Valur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Reynir 0
Hottur 2
Kari 5
Fram 2
Volsungur 1
Hamar 3
Olafsvik 5
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 5
Throttur 0
Fjolnir 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 1
KR Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Kari 3
Fram 0
Olafsvik 1
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 2
Thor Akureyri 1
Akranes 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 2
Valur 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 1
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 2
Hafnarfjordur 0
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 2
Final
Stjarnan 1
Breidablik 0