Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Nielsen C.
(Penalty)
52'
52'
Nyakossi R.
58'
58'
Sub
Traore A. K. In: Opoku D.
Out: Traore A. K.
AI Match Summary
St. Liege in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Liege.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leuven haven't matched St. Liege's recent run of results.
- St. Liege are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leuven | St. Liege |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:2
May 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Leuven
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Leuven
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leuven Compare
Top Goalscorer George W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
St. Liege Compare
Top Goalscorer Eckert D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leuven 10 / 100
St. Liege 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leuven St. Liege
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Liege Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leuven scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
St. Liege let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Leuven has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leuven VS St. Liege
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leuven
(Home) 19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1 Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0 Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0 Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1 Cercle Brugge
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
15 Aug
Leuven
0 : 3 Club Brugge
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6 Lille
Page 1 of 3
St. Liege
(Away) 18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1 St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2 St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0 Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1 St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2 St. Liege
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3 St. Liege
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0 St. Liege
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 9 | SK Beveren | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 9 |
| 11 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Lommel SK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 15 | Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)
