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Leuven W vs Arsenal W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Fox E.
22' Event
Leonhardsen-Maanum F.
Assist: Foord C.
37' Event
Smith O.
Assist: Kelly C.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal W in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Leuven W
35%
Draws
31%
Arsenal W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal W have won more games recently than Leuven W.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Leuven W taking it.
  • Arsenal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arsenal W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Leuven W Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven W Arsenal W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 20
Draws 7 3
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2 2.29
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Arsenal W vs Leuven W
3:1
Feb 11, 2026 UEFA Champions League Women
Leuven W vs Arsenal W
0:4
Dec 17, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
Leuven W vs Arsenal W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Arsenal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonhardsen-Maanum F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven W 67 / 100
Arsenal W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven W Arsenal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leuven W scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Leuven W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arsenal W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven W VS Arsenal W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven W

(Home)
26 Sept
Leuven W
1 : 1
Club Brugge W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Standard Liege W
0 : 5
Leuven W
12 Sept
Genk W
0 : 0
Leuven W
06 Sept
Leuven W
6 : 1
Gent W
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal W

(Away)
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
13 Sept
Arsenal W
0 : 0
Crystal Palace W
06 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1
Arsenal W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atl. Madrid W 0
Manchester United W 5
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
Paris FC W 2
Real Madrid W 5
TBD -
Barcelona W -
Leuven W 1
Arsenal W 7
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Wolfsburg W 4
Juventus W 2
TBD -
OL Lyonnes W -
Quarter-finals
Manchester United W 3
Bayern Munich W 5
Real Madrid W 2
Barcelona W 12
Arsenal W 3
Chelsea W 2
Wolfsburg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
Semi-finals
Bayern Munich W 3
Barcelona W 5
Arsenal W 3
OL Lyonnes W 4
Final
Barcelona W 4
OL Lyonnes W 0