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Leuven W vs AS Roma W

Europe Europe

Champions League Women 2025/2026 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Viens E.
Assist: Corelli A.
42'
Nagy V.
46'
Sub
Bosteels A. In: De Ceuster K.
Out: Bosteels A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Champions League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Leuven W
15%
Draws
35%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leuven W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Leuven W have won more games recently than AS Roma W.
  • Win probability leans Leuven W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League Women 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leuven W Clean Sheet 16%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven W AS Roma W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 21 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2.38 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
Leuven W vs AS Roma W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viens E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven W 48 / 100
AS Roma W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven W AS Roma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Leuven W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AS Roma W let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven W VS AS Roma W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven W

(Home)
19 Sept
Standard Liege W
0 : 5
Leuven W
12 Sept
Genk W
0 : 0
Leuven W
06 Sept
Leuven W
6 : 1
Gent W
02 Sept
Leuven W
2 : 1
Czarni Sosnowiec W
26 Aug
Czarni Sosnowiec W
1 : 4
Leuven W
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma W

(Away)
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
AS Roma W
0 : 1
Sassuolo W
22 Aug
Ternana W
0 : 2
AS Roma W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 5 1 0 20:3 16
2 OL Lyonnes W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
3 Chelsea W 6 4 2 0 20:3 14
4 Bayern Munich W 6 4 1 1 14:13 13
5 Arsenal W 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
6 Manchester United W 6 4 0 2 7:9 12
7 Real Madrid W 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
8 Juventus W 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Wolfsburg W 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
10 Paris FC W 6 2 2 2 6:9 8
11 Atl. Madrid W 6 2 1 3 13:9 7
12 Leuven W 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
13 Valerenga W 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
14 AS Roma W 6 1 1 4 9:19 4
15 Twente W 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
16 SL Benfica W 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
17 PSG W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
18 St. Polten W 6 0 1 5 3:28 1
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)