Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U19 vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bogatov P.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Levadia U19 and Narva U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Levadia U19
15%
Draws
53%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Levadia U19 haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U19 Narva U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.59 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Levadia U19
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Narva U21
1:0
May 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Levadia U19
4:4
Apr 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Narva U21
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogatov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Narva U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U19 30 / 100
Narva U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U19 Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Narva U21 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Levadia U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U19 VS Narva U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U19

(Home)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)